News and Tribune

February 27, 2013

GREG'S PICKS: Title games should be worth price of admission

Potential Jeff-New Albany, Clarksville-Crawford County and Borden-CAI championship games could be interesting

By GREG MENGELT
greg.mengelt@newsandtribune.com

> SOUTHERN INDIANA — With the exception of co-favorites Clarksville and Providence drawing each other in the first round, the sectional draw really set up some nice championships.

Even at Crawford County, which Clarksville pulled off a minor upset over the Pioneers in the opening round, the Generals will still have to go through some pretty tough games to win their first sectional title since 1986. Eastern is no slouch and the Generals didn’t exactly blow them out in the regular-season contest. Then they’ll face either Crawford County or Paoli and neither make it easy for Clarksville in what should be a good title game.

At Borden, with a win over New Washington on Friday, the host Braves will face either Lanesville (13-8) or Christian Academy (11-9). Both are better than their records and are easily the second- and third-best teams in the sectional, making for an interesting title game.

Then there’s Seymour. Jeff and New Albany. The way it should be. Jeff’s the heavy favorite, but is there anyone out there who doesn’t believe the Bulldogs can push their rivals? It’s cliché, but anything can happen in a Jeff-New Albany title game.

Here’s a look at what to expect this weekend:



SECTIONALS

CLASS 4A SEYMOUR SECTIONAL

FRIDAY SEMFINALS

Jeffersonville (20-3) vs. Bedford North Lawrence (8-12)


• Time: 6 p.m.

• Radio: WNDA-1570 AM, WQKC-1450 AM

• Rankings: Jeffersonville — Class 4A No. 13 AP; IBCA No. 11.

• Computer-based Sagarin rankings: Jeffersonville 13 (Class 4A No. 12); Bedford North Lawrence 182 (Class 4A No. 90). According to Sagarin, Jeffersonville is favored by 26.28 points.

• Series all-time: Jeffersonville 26-21 (Bedford 5-4 in tournament games).

• Series last 15 years: Jeffersonville 13-9 (3-3 in the tournament games, including Jeff’s 69-63 win in last year’s sectional championship).

• Regular-season matchup: Jeffersonville 64, at Bedford 35 on Jan. 25.

• Analysis: With no seniors to speak of, Bedford may be a pretty tough team to beat in next year’s tournament. As for Friday, it will be no contest again.

• Greg’s Pick: Jeffersonville 75, Bedford NL 51.



New Albany (14-7) vs. Jennings County (13-9)

• Time: Approximately 7:30 p.m.

• Radio: WNDA-1570 AM, WQKC-1450 AM, WNAS-88.1 FM.

• Computer-based Sagarin rankings: New Albany 59 (Class 4A No. 43); Jennings County 112 (Class 4A No. 73). According to Sagarin, New Albany is favored by 6.28 points.

• Series last 15 years: New Albany 19-3 (New Albany  4-1 in tournament games, including wins in the last four meetings).

• Regular-season matchup: At New Albany 43, Jennings County 35 on Feb. 19.

• Analysis: The regular-season matchup didn’t live up to high expectations with New Albany dominating from the start. Friday may be different. This should be an interesting game — easily the most compelling of the sectional to date.

• Greg’s Pick: New Albany 59, Jennings County 56.



SATURDAY CHAMPIONSHIP

• PREDICTION:
Jeffersonville 80, New Albany 66. The Bulldogs will give Jeff a game — for a while. The Devils proved they have too much talent for their rivals during their 70-46 win in the regular season.



CLASS 2A CRAWFORD COUNTY SECTIONAL

FRIDAY SEMFINALS

Crawford County (14-7) vs. Paoli (13-7)


• Time: 6 p.m.

• Computer-based Sagarin rankings: Crawford 179 (Class 2A No. 27); Paoli 193 (Class 2A No. 30) . According to Sagarin, Crawford is favored by 1.19 points.

• Series last 15 years: Tied, 10-10 (2-2 in the tournament; Crawford won last year, 51-47, in the sectional semifinal; Paoli won 60-50 in a 2002 regional semifinal).

• Regular-season matchup: At Paoli 48, Crawford County 49 on Feb. 22.

• Analysis: Paoli beat the Wolfpack at home last week, but at Crawford and in the sectional, it will be a different story.

• Greg’s Pick: Crawford County 61, Paoli 52.



Clarksville (16-5) vs. Eastern (9-11)

• Time: Approximately 7:30 p.m.

• Rankings: Clarksville — Class 2A No. 8 AP.

• Computer-based Sagarin rankings: Clarksville 117 (Class 2A No. 11); Eastern 267 (Class 2A No. 55). According to Sagarin, Clarksville is favored by 17.11 points.

• Series last 15 years: Eastern 10-9 (Eastern 3-0 in tournament games).

• Regular-season matchup: Clarksville 48, at Eastern 36 on Dec. 8.

• Analysis: Clarksville better not take Eastern lightly after Tuesday’s big win. The Musketeers are dangerous have some players who can light it up from behind the 3-point arc. In the end, however, it would be a stunner if Clarksville doesn’t win this sectional.

• Greg’s Pick: Clarksville 58, Eastern 44.



SATURDAY CHAMPIONSHIP

• PREDICTION:
Clarksville 60, Crawford County 52. Plain and simple, it’s just Clarksville’s year — and it’s been a long time coming. The Generals are too good to let this one slip away after beating Providence on Tuesday.



CLASS A BORDEN SECTIONAL

FRIDAY SEMFINALS

Lanesville (13-8) vs. Christian Academy (11-9)


• Time: 6 p.m.

• Computer-based Sagarin rankings: Lanesville 213 (Class A No. 27); Christian Academy 284 (Class A No. 49). According to Sagarin, Lanesville is favored by 6.31 points.

• Series last 15 years: Lanesville 20-10 (Lanesville 5-3 in tournament games, including four of the last five).

• Regular-season matchup: At Lanesville 62, Christian Academy 54 on Nov. 20.

• Analysis: It’s been a long time since CAI opened with the Eagles — and the Warriors are a different team. Kyle Hayes and DeVonta King will be too much for Lanesville to handle and CAI will move on.

• Greg’s Pick: Christian Academy 67, Lanesville 61.



Borden (18-3) vs. New Washington (9-12)

• Time: Approximately 7:30 p.m.

• Rankings: Borden — Class A No. 10 AP.

• Computer-based Sagarin rankings: Borden 177 (Class A No. 16); New Washington 324 (Class A No. 60). According to Sagarin, Borden is favored by 15.26 points.

• Series last 15 years: Borden 11-7 (Borden 2-0 in tournament games)

• Regular-season matchup: At Borden 63, New Washington 40 on Jan. 4.

• Analysis: It’s been a great comeback season for the New Washington program, but it would be a huge upset if the Mustangs hang with Borden. It would be an upset if it’s close.

• Greg’s Pick: Borden 65, New Washington 42.



SATURDAY CHAMPIONSHIP

• PREDICTION: Borden 68, Christian Academy 58. A couple of weeks ago, I was prepared to pick CAI in an upset. The way Borden has played since being beaten by Springs Valley on Feb. 9, there’s just no way to justify that prediction. The Warriors may have the stars in Hayes and King, but Braves’ balance will be the difference.



PLAYER OF THE WEEK

Keenan Williams, Jeffersonville


The Red Devils junior put up 28 points for the straight game in Jeff’s 87-60 first-round sectional win over Floyd Central. Williams went 10 for 11 from the field and 7-of-8 from the foul line and grabbed nine boards as Jeff advanced to face Bedford North Lawrence in Friday’s Seymour Sectional semifinal.



Sectional First Round Stars

• Andrew Jones, Clarksville: Jones had a Clarksville-best 12 points, including getting the Generals off to a fast start with the teams’ first five points, in a big 39-35 victory over Providence.

• Jeff Byrne, New Albany: Byrne had a team-best 14 points, including four 3-pointers, as the Bulldogs knocked off Seymour, 85-30, to advance to Friday’s semifinals.

• Garrett Vick, Borden: Vick led the balanced Braves with 14 points in an easy 64-38 first-round win over South Central.

• Shae Durham, Silver Creek: In his last game as a Dragon, Durham had a team-best 13 points in a 49-37 first-round loss to Brownstown Central.

• Jackson Logsdon, Floyd Central: In his final game at Floyd, Logsdon had a team-high 12 points in the Highlanders’ loss to Jeff.

• Will Brown, Rock Creek: The sophomore had a team-best 18 points in a 75-64 loss to Lanesville for the Lions, who appear to have a bright future ahead of them.



BOYS’ POWER POLL

Team    Record    Last


1. Jeffersonville    20-3    1

3. Borden    18-3    3

4. Clarksville    16-5    4

2. Providence    17-4    2

5. New Albany    14-7    5

6. Charlestown    11-10    6

7. Silver Creek    9-12    7

8. Eastern    9-11    8

9. Christian Academy    11-9    9

10. New Washington    9-12    —

    Note on the Power Poll: The power polls aren’t based solely on which teams would beat which. Team records, how teams are expected to perform in their respective class sectionals and how the teams are playing in the past couple of weeks are factors also taken into account.