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November 6, 2013

H.S. FOOTBALL PICKS: Using reverse psychology in sectional final picks

Floyd, Charlestown fans should expect tough matchups



I don’t have to be so coy on this one.

I have picked Charlestown in 10 of its 11 games because I love its defense. However, it won’t be the best unit on the field Friday night.

Brownstown Central’s offense is simply extraordinary — like the PIrates’ offense from a year ago when they beat the Braves 62-10 for the sectional title.

When the Braves beat Charlestown 40-26 on Aug. 30, it seemed like an offensive explosion for Brownstown. It turned out to be its third-lowest offensive output of the season.

During the season, the Braves have scored 74, 62, 57 twice, 55, 53, 52, 49, 40, 28 and 21.

It’s doubtful that Reed May’s Braves will put up 40 against Charlestown again, but I have little doubt they’ll score enough to win their 10th sectional title in 19 years, and surprisingly, their first since 2010.

THE PICK: Brownstown Central 33, Charlestown 20.







7 p.m.

• PLACE: James Sleighter Field.

• RECORDS: Floyd Central 8-2, Whiteland 8-2.

• SERIES RECORD: First meeting.

• KEY FACTS: The Highlanders will be making their third sectional championship appearance in coach Brian Glesing’s seven-year stint at Floyd Central. Glesing guided the Highlanders to back-to-back Class 5A Sectional 8 finals in 2009 and 2010. Floyd Central defeated Castle in the 2009 title game at home, 42-32. But the Knights returned the favor in 2010 with a 45-44 overtime win over the Highlanders at Ron Weigleb Stadium. … In his nine seasons at Whiteland, Warriors’ coach Darrin Fisher has a 65-37 record with six winning campaigns, three Mid-State Conference titles (2008, 2010, 2013) and the program’s most recent sectional championship in 2006. Prior to Fisher’s arrival, Whiteland had a 46-71 record from 1994-2004, which included four winning seasons and no conference championships. But the Warriors won two sectional titles in 1999 and 2000.

• ANALYSIS: When looking at the statistics for both teams, there are a lot of similarities. Each squad likes to run the ball. The Class 5A No. 3 Warriors average 307 rushing yards per game, while the Highlanders have a rushing average of 287.1 yards per contest. Both teams rank in the top five in Class 5A in points per game. Floyd Central is second in 5A at 42.3 points per game, and Whiteland ranks fifth at 37 points a contest. But on defense, each team has allowed a high number of points. The Warriors have given up 35.2 points per game, while the Highlanders have yielded 31.3 points a contest. This sectional final has all the makings of a game where the team with the ball last will win. But most likely, the team that makes the biggest defensive plays will come out on top.

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